The New York Times reports today that Joe Manchin, the Democrat I love to hate, is pulling out all the stops in his attempt to eliminate subsidies for electric cars in Pres. Biden’s economic recovery plan. Could it be because he is deeply beholden to the fossil fuel (coal and petroleum) interests that wield tremendous power, I wonder? No need to spin conspiracy theories: it’s just how politics works.
But, strangely, for his own selfish and wrong reasons, Fossil Manchin is actually pursuing the right policy, I think. Or, I should say, the right lack of policy. Because many in our society are gripped by hysteria over the spectre of climate apocalypse, there is a frenzy to shovel money to things that they think will ameliorate the situation. As the Times says:
But a fast transition to electric vehicles is exactly what scientists say is needed to quickly and sharply cut the emissions that are dangerously heating the planet. Pollution from transportation is the leading source of greenhouse gas emissions in the United States.
Let’s just step back and assume that we have a long-range goal of reducing the carbon footprint of our economy, and jettison this absurd notion that the entire global industrial plant can go green in twenty years, but for the interference of troglodytes such as the Koch family and Manchin. No, it’s going to take a long time.
As the EPA chart shows, transportation does in fact account for the largest share of USA green house gases (ghg), just ahead of electricity production, 27% to 25%. Note well: electricity production is required to run electric vehicles, and for a very long time, much of that energy is going to be produced by fossil fuels.
The EPA report from which the graph is taken also includes this:
Greenhouse gas emissions from transportation primarily come from burning fossil fuel for our cars, trucks, ships, trains, and planes. Over 90% of the fuel used for transportation is petroleum based, which includes primarily gasoline and diesel.
Electric trucks are not at all viable, nor is it likely to power large cargo ships in the near future. Planes are out of the question despite the vaporing of Elon Musk and others I have heard, while diesel trains are good candidates for electrification. Just think about the last time you rode an urban metro system. And recall that all of this discussion is about the USA only. Granted, we here in the States are car crazy, but we are only one country. So, to address a problem that requires a long-term solution, we are supposed to rush to massively subsidize EVs in the USA, which would result in a minimal overall reduction in GHG production, unless the government decreed the elimination of gasoline cars, and magically created green energy sources to suddenly supply the needed charging energy.
Our American obsession with cars has many, many deleterious social and economic impacts: traffic deaths of passengers and pedestrians; air pollution; noise pollution; insane congestion; lost time to commuting; destructive urban sprawl; and, finally, production of GHG. The way to reduce ALL of these negative consequences is to reduce our reliance on cars and trucks, not to convert the current fleet to electric vehicles. That will do nothing for most of the impacts, and the reduction of GHG will be partially offset by the scramble to increase energy sources.
But, but…BUT…climate armageddon is coming SOON! We have to do SOMETHING!
When you are operating under that sort of hysteria, it’s impossible to make sound policy decisions. We should be directing subsidies to mass-transit and buses so that people have an attractive alternative to using their cars. We should be reducing the use of trucks as a freight carrier (dangerous, polluting, noisy, and destructive of roadways) and developing our ability to move goods with trains, the way we used to do it before cars became the dominant non-life form on our city streets. And subsidizing hybrid cars, not to mention mandating better mileage in gasoline powered cars, would go a long way towards reducing fuel consumption and GHG production without the need for new energy sources.